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A game show has three doors, with a prize behind one. A contestant picks door 1. The host does not know where the prize is. He opens door 3 at random, and it happens to show no prize. What is the probability that the prize is behind door 2?
Mathematics
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High School (11–12)
Statistics and Probability › Conditional Probability and Bayes' Theorem
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A game show has three doors, with a prize behind one. A contestant picks door
1
1
1
. The host does not know where the prize is. He opens door
3
3
3
at random, and it happens to show no prize. What is the probability that the prize is behind door
2
2
2
?
2
3
\dfrac{2}{3}
3
2
1
2
\dfrac{1}{2}
2
1
1
3
\dfrac{1}{3}
3
1
1
6
\dfrac{1}{6}
6
1
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