Try it on paper first. A hint, the key idea and the worked solution are here when you need them.
A made-up firm has two vans. Van A sends back , or parcels a day with probabilities , and . Van B sends back , , or with probabilities , , and . Find the expected number for each van. Find the expected total for both vans over days.
The expected value is the long-run mean, each value weighted by its probability:
The expected value of a total is the total of the expected values.
Have you tried it?
Work it out on paper first. It is fine to get stuck or make a mistake: that is how we learn. When you are ready, go through the solution one step at a time, and check each step against your own.
Step 1. Van A. parcels a day.
Step 2. Van B. parcels a day.
Step 3. Both vans for days. parcels.
Answer: , and parcels.
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