Try it on paper first. A hint, the key idea and the worked solution are here when you need them.
A made-up survey asks people a question, and each says yes with probability , independently. Find the mean and the standard deviation of the number who say yes. Use the normal curve with a continuity correction, so that or more becomes or more, to estimate the probability of or more yes answers. Give four decimal places.
is close to when and . Skewed or bounded data are often not normal.
Have you tried it?
Work it out on paper first. It is fine to get stuck or make a mistake: that is how we learn. When you are ready, go through the solution one step at a time, and check each step against your own.
Step 1. Mean and spread. and .
Step 2. The z-score. .
Step 3. The tail. .
Answer: , and about .
Check. The exact binomial value is , so the normal curve is very close here.
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