Try it on paper first. A hint, the key idea and the worked solution are here when you need them.
A made-up science club measures how far a toy car rolls down ramps of six different heights. With heights to units, the distances are , , , , and m. Find the least-squares line and to four decimal places. Then find the residuals at the first and the last point, and describe the pattern of all six residuals. Is a straight line a good model?
is the share of the variation in that the line accounts for; with the sign of the slope. A residual plot with a pattern (a curve, a fan) shows that a straight line is not the right model.
Have you tried it?
Work it out on paper first. It is fine to get stuck or make a mistake: that is how we learn. When you are ready, go through the solution one step at a time, and check each step against your own.
Step 1. The line. m per unit, and m. So .
Step 2. r. , so .
Step 3. Residuals. They are , , , , and m.
Answer: and ; the first and last residuals are both m.
What it means. The residuals are positive at both ends and negative in the middle: a U. The distances bend upwards, and a straight line is the wrong model, though is high. In fact these distances follow exactly.
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