Do students who sleep longer score higher? Does a hotter day sell more ice cream? A scatter plot shows the pattern, and the correlation coefficient puts a number on it. Then fit the line of best fit by least squares, in both directions, and use it to predict. You also learn when a prediction can be trusted, and the traps that catch many students: causation, outliers and going beyond the data. The Indian Class 11 and 12 mathematics books do not teach this topic. A-Level, IB, AP Statistics and the SAT do.
3 lessons, about 1 h 15 min3 simulations10 problems3 practice questionsPython in every lesson
A scatter plot shows two measurements for each person or thing as one point. The correlation coefficient measures how closely the points follow a straight line, from to . It says nothing about a curve, and it does not say that one quantity causes the other.
The regression line of on is the straight line that makes the sum of the squared vertical misses as small as possible. It always passes through the point of the two means. There is a second line, of on , and the product of the two slopes is .
A regression line is good for predicting inside the range of the data and poor outside it. tells the share of the variation that the line explains. One odd point can change a line, a strong correlation is not proof of cause, and a pattern that holds for each group can reverse when the groups are mixed.
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